Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
