SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Necaxa |
| 55.29% | 24.95% | 19.76% |
| Both teams to score 45.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% | 55.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% | 76.77% |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% | 20.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.32% |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% | 42.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.82% | 79.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Necaxa |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 5.03% 4-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.28% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.29% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.76% |
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