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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 8, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
2 - 1
Necaxa

Rolan (2', 57')
Alvarado (18'), Acosta (63'), Gomez (83'), Esquivel (90+3'), Garcia (90+6'), Olivera (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alvarado (47' og.)
Zendejas (23'), Villalpando (35'), Malagon (48'), Oliveros (90+10')
Malagon (50')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Necaxa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawNecaxa
39.55%27.84%32.6%
Both teams to score 47.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42%57.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31%78.69%
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4%28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59%64.41%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Score Analysis
    Juarez 39.55%
    Necaxa 32.6%
    Draw 27.83%
JuarezDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.07%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.6%

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