Toluca
3 - 1
Santos Laguna

Alvarez (41'), Fernandez (56'), Rigonato Rodrigues (80')
Rodriguez (21'), Ortega (37'), Garcia (76'), Fernandez (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Preciado (22')
Doria (84')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Santos Laguna
37.74%	26.49%	35.77%

Both teams to score 52.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.71%

52.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01%

73.99%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75%

62.25%

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.74%

Score Analysis

Toluca 37.74%

Santos Laguna 35.77%

Draw 26.49%

Toluca	Draw	Santos Laguna
1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.74%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 8% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.77%