Toluca
1 - 1
Necaxa

Vanegas (56')
Vanegas (67'), Sambueza (90+5')
Ortega (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zendejas (53')
Gonzalez (6'), Salas (24'), Medina (45')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Necaxa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Necaxa
46.72%	26.17%	27.11%

Both teams to score 50.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18%

53.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71%

75.28%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98%

23.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17%

56.82%

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11%

34.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37%

71.63%

Score Analysis

Toluca 46.71%

Necaxa 27.11%

Draw 26.16%

Toluca	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.71%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.11%