Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.