Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.05) 
