Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
