Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.
