Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.