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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
M
Marseille

Brest
1 - 5
Marseille

Camara (45+6')
Pereira Lage (16'), Martin (31'), Lala (45+1'), Amavi (74')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Greenwood (3', 31' pen.), Henrique (26', 48'), Wahi (69' pen.)
Cornelius (7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Brest 1-1 Marseille

De Zerbi's side are likely to dominate the possession in this game and could cause Brest plenty of problems, but we expect the hosts to pounce on the counter-attack, leading us to expect a draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
40.25% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 27.39% (0.152 0.15) 32.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (-0.609 -0.61)56.37% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (-0.496 -0.5)77.39% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (-0.303 -0.3)27.44% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (-0.389 -0.39)62.92% (0.387 0.39)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.402 -0.4)32.31% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.457 -0.46)68.82% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Brest 40.25%
    Marseille 32.35%
    Draw 27.39%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Brest
Saturday, August 3 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Brest
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Laval
Wednesday, July 24 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Brest
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Toulouse 0-3 Brest
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Pau
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Toulon
Wednesday, July 24 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 Nimes
Sunday, July 21 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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