Monaco squeezed past Angers in their last match but have been disappointing in recent times, and we expect them to struggle to keep Lille's David at bay this weekend.
Les Dogues are on the hunt for a top-four standing in these final quartet of fixtures - Fonseca's side should be good enough for a point on their travels on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
