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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
M

Nantes
2 - 2
Monaco

Mohamed (65'), Blas (78')
Girotto (56'), Corchia (62'), Blas (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Disasi (21'), Matazo (30')
Volland (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Monaco

These two teams have been challenging to read this season, and they have each been streaky at times in 2022-23. That being said, Monaco have looked much sharper and calmer away from home and should be able to exploit a Nantes side who seem to be feeling the pressure of potential relegation at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMonaco
18.39% (-0.313 -0.31) 21.85% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 59.76% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)45.13% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)67.48% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.403 -0.4)38.3% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.389 -0.39)75.06% (0.389 0.39)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.096000000000004 0.1)14.7% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (0.185 0.19)42.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 18.39%
    Monaco 59.74%
    Draw 21.85%
NantesDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.39%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.34% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.17% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.025 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 59.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Reims
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Nantes
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Nice
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-2 Nantes
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-3 Nice
Sunday, February 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 B. Leverkusen (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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