Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Monaco win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
