Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
43% (![]() | 25.28% (![]() | 31.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% (![]() | 47.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% (![]() | 70.16% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.7% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.47% (![]() | 28.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.69% (![]() | 64.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.71% |
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