Given that Nice and Lille have both experienced big changes in recent months, Friday's clash will likely be a scrappy affair as both sides aim to grow into the new season, with a low-scoring draw looking like the most probable outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.22) 
0.3) 
