SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Auxerre |
39.94% ( 0.47) | 24.97% ( -0.12) | 35.09% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.52) | 45.69% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.49) | 68.01% ( -0.48) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( 0.47) | 22.75% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( 0.69) | 56.44% ( -0.68) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.05) | 25.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.06) | 60.13% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.09% |
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