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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
ML

Brest
2 - 4
Metz

Honorat (33'), Cardona (48')
Perraud (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boulaya (36'), Sarr (74'), Ndiaga Yade (81'), Goncalves (88' pen.)
Ndiaga Yade (89'), Fofana (90+3'), Boulaya (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawMetz
41.03%26.79%32.18%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91%54.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49%75.51%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05%25.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04%60.96%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38%67.62%
Score Analysis
    Brest 41.03%
    Metz 32.18%
    Draw 26.78%
BrestDrawMetz
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.18%

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