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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
M

Clermont
1 - 5
Marseille

Boutobba (53')
Cham (34'), Borges (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ndiaye (23'), Aubameyang (59'), Clauss (67'), Henrique (80'), Moumbagna (90+2')
Kondogbia (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-2 Marseille

Both teams have reason to be optimistic of success on Saturday and will view this fixture as a must-win if they wish to achieve their end-of-season targets. Although Marseille's away from has been woeful to say the least this term, their resurgence under new boss Gasset has not gone unnoticed and the 70-year-old should have enough quality at his disposal to lead the visitors to an important victory over their relegation-threatened counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMarseille
23.74% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 51.05% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)52.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)74.24% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)37.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.041 0.04)73.91% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.049000000000007 0.05)20.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.078000000000003 0.08)53.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 23.74%
    Marseille 51.04%
    Draw 25.21%
ClermontDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.74%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Clermont
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Marseille
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Metz
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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