Given the hosts' record at both ends of the pitch, we anticipate a low-scoring encounter on Sunday which could be decided by a singular goal.
With a degree of confidence following their last two results, Clermont should have enough to find that goal, and we back them to see out a narrow victory on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
3.12) 
-0.98) 
