Given the hosts' record at both ends of the pitch, we anticipate a low-scoring encounter on Sunday which could be decided by a singular goal. With a degree of confidence following their last two results, Clermont should have enough to find that goal, and we back them to see out a narrow victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Troyes
47.24% ( 3.12)	26.6% ( -0.98)	26.16% ( -2.14)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

2.39)

56.03% (

-2.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89% (

1.9)

77.11% (

-1.9)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27% (

2.6)

23.72% (

-2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14% (

3.6)

57.86% (

-3.6)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

-0.47)

36.88% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34% (

-0.47)

73.66% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Clermont 47.23%

Troyes 26.16%

Draw 26.59%

Clermont	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.23%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.16%