Lyon are certainly prone to the odd defensive error, and Troyes should fancy their chances of experiencing some joy in front of goal with Lopes stuck on the naughty step.
However, a consolation strike will likely be the only thing the travelling support have to cheer, as Bosz's abundance of goal-getters should propel Les Gones to a straightforward second win of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.09) 
