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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
CF

Marseille
1 - 0
Clermont

Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Marseille 3-1 Clermont

Although Clermont won the most recent meeting between the two clubs, we think that an in-form Marseille side will claim a comfortable victory to keep pace with defending champions PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawClermont
63.2% (-0.064 -0.06) 20.77% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 16.04% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.77% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)13.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)40.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.69% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (0.053999999999998 0.05)77.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 63.19%
    Clermont 16.04%
    Draw 20.77%
MarseilleDrawClermont
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.19%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.77%
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 0-3 Marseille
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Reims
Sunday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 AC Milan
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Marseille
Friday, July 22 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Nice
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-4 Clermont
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-5 PSG
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Clermont
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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