Although Clermont won the most recent meeting between the two clubs, we think that an in-form Marseille side will claim a comfortable victory to keep pace with defending champions PSG. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Clermont
63.2% ( -0.06)	20.77% ( 0.02)	16.04% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

44.39% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

66.77% (

-0)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.02)

13.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.65% (

-0.04)

40.35% (

0.04)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

0.06)

40.69% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

0.05)

77.28% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Marseille 63.19%

Clermont 16.04%

Draw 20.77%

Marseille	Draw	Clermont
2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.19%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 20.77%	0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.04%