Although Angers are still winless this season, their results are more encouraging than those of Troyes, and we think that the visitors could record their first win of the campaign when they face a side who have conceded 10 goals in their opening three games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.09) 
