With both sides keen to avoid defeat, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Troyes on Sunday. There is little separating these sides in terms of quality, even if the visitors may surprise a few this season as they look to avoid an instant return to Ligue 2. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Toulouse
41.77% ( 0.03)	26.73% ( -0)	31.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

0.01)

54.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

0.01)

75.47% (

-0.01)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.02)

25.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

0.03)

60.4% (

-0.03)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

-0.01)

31.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

-0.01)

68.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Troyes 41.76%

Toulouse 31.51%

Draw 26.72%

Troyes	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.76%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.51%