SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
36.16% ( -3.12) | 23.85% ( -0.07) | 39.98% ( 3.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.92% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( 0.29) | 40.24% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% ( 0.3) | 62.61% ( -0.29) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -1.42) | 22.24% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -2.19) | 55.68% ( 2.19) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 1.69) | 20.37% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 2.61) | 52.78% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.16% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.98% |
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