SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
32.68% ( -0.05) | 25% ( -0.01) | 42.32% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.05) | 46.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( 0.05) | 68.66% ( -0.04) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -0.01) | 27.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -0.01) | 62.5% ( 0.01) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.05) | 21.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( 0.08) | 55.15% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.32% |
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