It is too early to tell if Toulouse can maintain their solid form at the moment, whereas Lens have proven since entering the league that they can compete and earn results against the elite sides in Ligue 1.
That being said, the consistency of Lens and how comfortable they look at home has us tipping the scales in their favour for this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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