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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
LL

Lille
1 - 0
Lens

David (44' pen.)
Fonte (14'), Gomes (38'), Andre (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabot (4'), Medina (36'), Haidara (43'), Machado (53'), Frankowski (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-2 Lens

Lens have been earning plaudits and for good reason this season, given their fantastic performances in the early stage of the season. For Lille, they have work to do if they wish to compete for the European places this season, but it is unlikely to start against Lens on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawLens
36.83% (0.0010000000000048 0) 27.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 36.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)75.77%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.23%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)64.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 36.82%
    Lens 36.15%
    Draw 27%
LilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Lille
Sunday, September 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Nice
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Lille
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Troyes
Friday, September 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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