Away days have not been Lens' specialities this term, and a Marseille side determined to bounce back from their Classique defeat and return to the top three at Les Sang et Or's expense are to be taken very seriously indeed.
While Marseille ought to have no trouble finding the back of the net at home, a lack of options in the heart of defence should leave Haise's side feeling confident about their chances of coming away with a well-earned point to their name.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Lens had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.62) 
0.28) 
