SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Lens had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lens |
47.32% ( -0.62) | 25.36% ( 0.28) | 27.32% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( -0.93) | 50.47% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -0.82) | 72.4% ( 0.82) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.65) | 21.34% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.69% ( -1.01) | 54.3% ( 1) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -0.23) | 32.94% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( -0.25) | 69.52% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.32% |
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