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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
L

Lens
1 - 0
Lyon

Sotoca (82' pen.)
Sotoca (78'), Said (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 PSG
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 3-2 Lyon

These two sides have scored 32 goals combined in their opening eight matches and have an abundance of capable goalscorers among their squads, so goals could be in high supply here. Lens' perfect home form combined with Lyon's dreadful record on the road so far makes the hosts slight favourites though, and they may just have enough to edge this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawLyon
40.35% (0.461 0.46) 24.41% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 35.24% (-0.543 -0.54)
Both teams to score 59.68% (-0.387 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-0.464 -0.46)43.09% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-0.457 -0.46)65.48% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.42% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.515 -0.52)24.05% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (-0.734 -0.73)58.32% (0.73 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Lens 40.35%
    Lyon 35.24%
    Draw 24.41%
LensDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.166 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Troyes
Friday, September 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-4 Lens
Saturday, August 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 PSG
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 5-0 Angers
Saturday, September 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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