SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
76.75% ( -0.12) | 14.49% ( 0.12) | 8.76% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.29% ( -0.68) | 33.71% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.46% ( -0.77) | 55.54% ( 0.78) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( -0.17) | 7.21% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.83% ( -0.46) | 26.17% ( 0.46) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.5) | 45.67% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.54% ( -0.4) | 81.46% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 76.75% | 1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.49% | 1-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
