The best travellers in Ligue 1 so far, Marseille will have no doubt of their ability to ease past the attentions of newly-promoted Saint-Etienne this weekend.
Les Verts have an impressive home record for a club new to this level, but we cannot envisage Les Olympiens dropping points at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.13) 
