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Champions League | League Stage
Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK
Anfield
L

Liverpool
2 - 1
Lille

Salah (34'), Elliott (67')
Mac Allister (90+2'), Elliott (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
David (62')
Mandi (37'), Andre (88')
Mandi (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nice
Friday, January 17 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lille had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
LiverpoolDrawLille
62.65% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 21.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 16.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)45.48% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.012 0.01)13.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)41.36% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 62.64%
    Lille 16.25%
    Draw 21.09%
LiverpoolDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 62.64%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.09%
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, January 11 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Man Utd
Sunday, January 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-5 Liverpool
Sunday, December 29 at 5.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Nice
Friday, January 17 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Lille
Friday, January 10 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, January 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 0-1 Lille
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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