SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lorient |
71.59% ( 0.63) | 17.55% ( -0.22) | 10.86% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.14) | 41.93% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.14) | 64.33% ( 0.15) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.61% ( 0.12) | 10.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.08% ( 0.27) | 33.92% ( -0.27) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.93% ( -0.84) | 47.07% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.46% ( -0.64) | 82.54% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.58% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.64% Total : 10.86% |
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