SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Lyon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Lorient | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Lille | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Auxerre | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Montpellier HSC | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
69.67% ( 0.15) | 17.37% ( -0.06) | 12.96% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.7% ( 0.08) | 35.3% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.67% ( 0.1) | 57.32% ( -0.1) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( 0.06) | 9.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.06% ( 0.14) | 30.93% ( -0.14) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.07) | 39.2% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( -0.07) | 75.91% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.66% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.96% |
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