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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
AA

Montpellier
1 - 2
Auxerre

Sakho (39')
Sakho (73')
Fayad (46'), Savanier (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
da Costa (70'), Autret (75' pen.)
da Costa (5'), Joly (43')
Niang (51'), da Costa (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Auxerre

Both teams have showcased that they are not always the strongest at the back in terms of keeping clean sheets, and that should open this game up to feature plenty of goals. Montpellier HSC have been free-scoring in the first two fixtures, and that could play a part in them securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
41.66% (-0.734 -0.73) 24.69% (-0.093 -0.09) 33.65% (0.823 0.82)
Both teams to score 58.32% (0.602 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.667 0.67)44.69% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.642 0.64)67.05% (-0.645 -0.64)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)21.49% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)54.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.818 0.82)25.71% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (1.1 1.1)60.63% (-1.104 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 41.66%
    Auxerre 33.65%
    Draw 24.68%
Montpellier HSCDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.264 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Montpellier
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Montpellier
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-4 PSG
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-2 Angers
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-1 Auxerre
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 St Etienne
Thursday, May 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Sochaux (5-4 pen.)
Friday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Amiens
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2


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