MX23RW : Friday, August 12 09:43:53
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Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille
4 - 1
Auxerre
Andre (1'), David (3', 39'), Zedadka (64')
Gomes (58'), Djalo (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Charbonnier (68')
Jeanvier (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Auxerre

Lille's reshuffled defence may take a bit of time to gel with one another, but they should not be troubled by Auxerre this weekend, as Furlan's side experience a baptism of fire on their return to the big time. The visitors may have got the better of Ligue 1 opposition in Saint-Etienne last season, but the Fonseca revolution ought to begin in winning fashion for Les Dogues here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawAuxerre
58.59% (0.227 0.23) 22.86% (0.276 0.28) 18.55% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.72% (-1.74 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-1.873 -1.87)49.15% (1.869 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (-1.716 -1.72)71.22% (1.712 1.71)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.577 -0.58)16.46% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84% (-1.046 -1.05)46.16% (1.043 1.04)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (-1.663 -1.66)40.48% (1.659 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (-1.537 -1.54)77.09% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.59%
    Auxerre 18.55%
    Draw 22.86%
LilleDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.59%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.496 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.55%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-3 Lille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-2 Monaco
Friday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Lille
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 24 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 St Etienne
Thursday, May 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Sochaux (5-4 pen.)
Friday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Amiens
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Auxerre
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Dunkerque
Saturday, April 30 at 2pm in Ligue 2
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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG11005053
2Lille11004133
3Marseille11004133
4Lens11003213
5Montpellier HSCMontpellier11003213
6MonacoMonaco11002113
7Lyon11002113
8Lorient11001013
9Nice10101101
10Toulouse10101101
11Angers10100001
12NantesNantes10100001
13Brest100123-10
14Troyes100123-10
15Ajaccio100112-10
16StrasbourgStrasbourg100112-10
17Rennes100101-10
18Auxerre100114-30
19Reims100114-30
20Clermont100105-50
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