Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lyon in this match.