Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Angers had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.