Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
