SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 34.42% | 28.16% | 37.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% | 58.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% | 79.4% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% | 32.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.29% | 68.71% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% | 30.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.5% | 66.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.96% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.41% |
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