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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
M

Reims
1 - 2
Marseille

Balogun (13')
De Smet (14'), Agbadou (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sanchez (16', 29')
Guendouzi (14'), Malinovskyi (19'), Rongier (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 1-1 Marseille

Although Marseille have won each of their last seven away league matches, Tudor's men could struggle to extend their winning streak against Reims, who have claimed seven victories in their previous eight home games. With that in mind, we expect Reims and Marseille to play out a low-scoring draw at the Stade Auguste-Delaune, with the Red and Whites continuing their phenomenal unbeaten run under Will Still. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Reims had a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Reims win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawMarseille
26.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 46.78% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.023 -0.02)77.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)24.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)58.38% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Reims 26.48%
    Marseille 46.78%
    Draw 26.74%
ReimsDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Reims
Saturday, February 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Annecy (6-7 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Marseille
Saturday, February 11 at 8.45pm in Ligue 1


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