SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Reims had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
51.66% ( -0.09) | 24.88% ( 0.19) | 23.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( -0.82) | 51.53% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( -0.72) | 73.33% ( 0.72) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.36) | 19.93% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.91% ( -0.58) | 52.08% ( 0.57) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% ( -0.55) | 36.79% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.42% ( -0.55) | 73.58% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.46% |
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