We said: Metz 0-2 Marseille
Expect to see Marseille in a foul mood following their elimination at the Coupe de France, and it seems unlikely that they will have too much trouble slowing down the fourth-lowest scoring team in the league, and a side who have lacked a clinical finisher all season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
