We said: Metz 1-3 Strasbourg
Metz will still be able to put out something of a familiar-looking side despite their plethora of absent players, but any hopes of them clambering their way to safety are slim to none here.
Strasbourg are not without their own concerns and have not had it all their own way on the road this term, but Stephan's crop should expose the hosts' defensive frailties with a resounding win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
