SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
| 33.17% | 25.94% | 40.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% | 50.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% | 72.31% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% | 28.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.39% | 64.6% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% | 24.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.25% | 58.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.88% |
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