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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
LL

Montpellier
1 - 0
Lens

Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
38.16%25%36.84%
Both teams to score 57.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32%45.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32%68%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34%23.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24%57.76%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64%24.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.76%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 38.16%
    Lens 36.84%
    Draw 25%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
2-1 @ 8.46%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.04%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.16%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-1 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.84%

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