Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
