SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
48.15% ( 0.03) | 23.98% ( 0.1) | 27.88% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( -0.53) | 44.18% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.52) | 66.55% ( 0.52) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.19) | 18.48% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.33% ( -0.33) | 49.68% ( 0.34) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.36) | 29.24% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.44) | 65.2% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 27.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
