As Auxerre do not travel well, it seems that Nantes are in prime position to claim maximum points from this bottom-four contest, which could be a tense encounter given both teams' current status. Therefore, a single goal could win it for the home side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nantes.