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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
N

Troyes
0 - 0
Nantes

 
FT

Castelletto (15'), Centonze (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Ajaccio
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-1 Nantes

These are two evenly matched teams with just a single point separating them in the table, and without their most lethal attacking threat, we expect the new Troyes boss will have a more conservative approach in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TroyesDrawNantes
45.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 26.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)53.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.19% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)57.08% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)33.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 45.85%
    Nantes 27.98%
    Draw 26.15%
TroyesDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Ajaccio
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Olympiacos 0-2 Nantes
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 23 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


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