SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Auxerre |
77.51% ( 0.07) | 13.32% ( -0.06) | 9.17% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.24) | 25.81% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.31) | 45.97% ( -0.31) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.61% ( 0.06) | 5.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.88% ( 0.17) | 21.11% ( -0.18) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( 0.16) | 38.83% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.44% ( 0.15) | 75.56% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Auxerre |
| 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 5.65% Total : 77.51% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 13.32% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.17% |
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